Re: How to predict the severity of acute pancreatitis? An ongoing debate.

نویسندگان

  • Jian Liu
  • Feng Cao
  • Xiao Min Dong
  • Peng Yu Li
  • Hai Chao Li
  • Bao Ju Qi
  • Fei Li
چکیده

We also found the positive predictive values of serum calcium, PaO2, base excess levels, BISAP and APACHE II scores, and EPIC score were low. The reason might be the study design itself. This study aimed to assess and compare the ability of laboratory markers and scoring systems to early predict organ failure. In order to make sure “early prediction”, we made up strictly “Exclusion criteria”. When collecting data, all laboratory tests were conducted in the emergency room prior to admission or within 24 hours after admission, and APACHE II and BISAP scores were calculated using data obtained within the first 24 hours. Perhaps this was the reason why most positive predictive values were low. When referring to APACHE II, there was another reason. The cutoff value of APACHE II (≥8) was previously determined at data collecting stage, which might be too big in this patient series.

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عنوان ژورنال:
  • The Turkish journal of gastroenterology : the official journal of Turkish Society of Gastroenterology

دوره 28 3  شماره 

صفحات  -

تاریخ انتشار 2017